Value Don't Lie

Value Don't Lie

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Value Don't Lie
Quick Value #237 - Special Situation
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Quick Value #237 - Special Situation

Recently completed split-off; this large cap trades at 8.5x FCF with meaningful FCF growth on the horizon

Sep 30, 2024
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Value Don't Lie
Value Don't Lie
Quick Value #237 - Special Situation
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Welcome to Quick Value

Every few weeks I’ll repost this reminder on what Quick Value is all about… Each week I’ll cover a stock on my watchlist in a Quick Value review. Here’s the scoop:

  1. Idea generation — The goal is to keep the new idea process churning by working the watchlist. These are meant to be a jumping off point for deeper research (i.e. a surface level review).

  2. Format — My format is similar to Steinhardt’s 4 questions: what they do, why it’s interesting, and what it’s worth. [Technically, Steinhardt’s were: the idea, consensus view, variant perception, and catalyst.]

  3. Weekly posts — Covers 1 new idea each week and rotates between free and premium posts. Premium posts lean toward micro/small caps and special sits.

  4. Coverage focus — You’ll see lots of special situations (including virtually every spin-off) and an emphasis on small caps.

  5. Past ideas — Check out past ideas here to get a feel for what’s been covered.


Today’s idea:

  • Shares are cheap — trading at 8.5x FCF / 7x EBITDA

  • Recently completed split/merger which simplifies capital structure

  • Share cannibal repurchased 48% of shares since 2013 (6.2% CAGR)

Subscribe below for access to all Quick Value posts. As a reminder, premium posts mostly cover “top of the pile” ideas that are generally microcaps or special situations.

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