Value Don't Lie

Value Don't Lie

Quick Value #293 - Turnaround + Management Change

Large cap turnaround story... pandemic-era earnings collapse, high leverage, poorly timed buybacks... iconic tool brands trading at 14.5x depressed earnings

Nov 17, 2025
∙ Paid

Today’s post:

  • Shares down 18% YTD & 65% over 5 years

  • Supernormal COVID earnings collapse + poorly timed mega-buyback left this company overlevered

  • Divestitures + earnings recovery underway… turnaround plan targeting 2x earnings increase over 3 years

  • Iconic power tool brands trading at 14.5x earnings / 9x EBITDA / 3.8x leverage

Quick reminder — For newer subscribers, my write-ups are meant to be a “jumping off point” for the idea generation process (i.e. a surface level review). Check out past write-ups here and my home base page here.

Recent write-ups include:

  • 11/10/25 — Dole fully deleveraged, cheap, kickstarting buybacks

  • 11/03/25 — 15 quick ideas in the portfolio & watchlist ($)

  • 10/27/25 — ONEOK is a cheap midstream energy co

  • 10/20/25 — Net-net in oilfield services ($)

  • 10/13/25 — Solstice spin off from Honeywell

  • 10/06/25 — Divestitures and delevering at Leggett & Platt ($)


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