Value Don't Lie

Value Don't Lie

Quick Value #296 - Gibraltar Industries (ROCK)

Announced levered acquisition and shares fell 22% - did the market overreact on this one?

Dec 01, 2025
∙ Paid

Today’s post:

  • Announced debt-financed acquisition at 12x EBITDA multiple equal to current market value of entire business

  • Balance sheet moves from net cash position to ~4x leverage at closing

  • Non-core asset sales + FCF + synergies expected to get leverage to 3x within 1 year and 2-2.5x within 2 years

  • Shares now trading at “levered” multiples = 11.8x trailing earnings and 8.9x pro-forma EBITDA

Thanks to everyone who participated in the lifetime subscription offer!

If you missed out, I’m running a more “plain vanilla” promo for Cyber Monday… grab 20% off (forever) on monthly or annual plans:

Get 20% off forever

Quick reminder — For newer subscribers, my write-ups are meant to be a “jumping off point” for the idea generation process (i.e. a surface level review). Check out past write-ups here and my home base page here.

Recent write-ups include:

  • 11/27/25 — Reviewed New Aptiv (RemainCo) and Cyprium (SpinCo)

  • 11/17/25 — Turnaround + management change at SWK ($)

  • 11/10/25 — Dole fully deleveraged, cheap, kickstarting buybacks

  • 11/03/25 — 15 quick ideas in the portfolio & watchlist ($)

  • 10/27/25 — ONEOK is a cheap midstream energy co

  • 10/20/25 — Net-net in oilfield services ($)

  • 10/13/25 — Solstice spin off from Honeywell

  • 10/06/25 — Divestitures and delevering at Leggett & Platt ($)

Now onto today’s post…


This post is for paid subscribers

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 Value Don't Lie
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture