Value Don't Lie

Value Don't Lie

Quick Value #300 - Canadian Inflection

This Canadian microcap is an early innings capital allocation inflection; shares are super cheap at 3x EBITDA and 7x FCF

Jan 12, 2026
∙ Paid

Today’s post:

  • Canadian “cigar butt” trading at 3x EBITDA and 7x FCF

  • Recent sale-leaseback transaction leaves company virtually unlevered

  • Capital allocation ramping via combo dividends, buybacks, and tuck-in M&A

For new subscribers — these write-ups are meant to be a “jumping off point” for the idea generation process (i.e. a surface level review). Each write-up includes: 1) company background; 2) why the idea is interesting; and 3) fair value estimate.

Check out past write-ups here and my home base page here.

Recent write-ups include:

  • 12/29/25 — A look at stub Becton Dickinson ($)

  • 12/22/25 — Initial look at Versant spin-off

  • 12/01/25 — Gibraltar beaten down on acquisition announcement ($)

  • 11/27/25 — New Aptiv (RemainCo) and Cyprium (SpinCo)

  • 11/17/25 — Turnaround + management change at SWK ($)

  • 11/10/25 — Dole fully deleveraged, cheap, kickstarting buybacks

  • 11/03/25 — 15 quick ideas in the portfolio & watchlist ($)

  • 10/27/25 — ONEOK is a cheap midstream energy co

  • 10/20/25 — Net-net in oilfield services ($)

  • 10/13/25 — Solstice spin off from Honeywell

  • 10/06/25 — Divestitures and delevering at Leggett & Platt ($)


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