Value Don't Lie

Value Don't Lie

Quick Value #302 - Special Sit Combo Meal

Within a 2-year period, this one has it all: 1) beaten down share price; 2) balance sheet transformation; and 3) management change

Jan 26, 2026
∙ Paid

Today’s post:

  • Scrapped a spin-off in favor of selling SpinCo

  • Then SpinCo divisions were sold (closing expected 2H26)

  • Then management was ousted and in search of a new CEO

  • It’s special sit combo meal: 1) beaten down shares; 2) balance sheet transformation; 3) management change

For new subscribers — these write-ups are meant to be a “jumping off point” for the idea generation process (i.e. a surface level review). Each write-up includes: 1) company background; 2) why the idea is interesting; and 3) fair value estimate.

Check out past write-ups here and my home base page here.

Recent write-ups include:

  • 01/19/26 — A look at the KBR upcoming spin-off

  • 01/12/26 — Supremex is super cheap and inflecting ($)

  • 01/06/26 — Shares of Cinemark look beaten down

  • 12/29/25 — A look at stub Becton Dickinson ($)

  • 12/22/25 — Initial look at Versant spin-off

  • 12/01/25 — Gibraltar beaten down on acquisition announcement ($)

  • 11/27/25 — New Aptiv (RemainCo) and Cyprium (SpinCo)

  • 11/17/25 — Turnaround + management change at SWK ($)

  • 11/10/25 — Dole fully deleveraged, cheap, kickstarting buybacks

  • 11/03/25 — 15 quick ideas in the portfolio & watchlist ($)


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