Value Don't Lie

Value Don't Lie

Home
Notes
Chat
Posts by Year
Investing Framework
Archive
About
Investing in Turnarounds
A field guide to investing in turnaround stocks; some case studies and a few actionable ideas too
Oct 1

September 2026

Quick Value #332 - Gentherm (THRM)
Reverse Morris Trust (RMT) transaction set to close in a few days
Sep 28
Quick Value #331 - Corteva / Vylor Spin-Off
Corteva (CTVA) slated to spin-off Vylor (VYLR) on Oct 1, 2026
Sep 21
A Guide to Investing in M&A Situations
This is Part 11 of my field guide for investment themes.
Sep 15
Quick Value #330 - Deckers Outdoor (DECK)
A look at a “busted GARP” name
Sep 9
Quick Value #329 - Microcap Compounder
Formerly a turnaround + management change, now progressing into a growth story
Sep 1

August 2026

Quick Value #328 - Cal-Maine Foods (CALM)
Simple mean reversion bet with 40% upside potential
Aug 25
Quick Value #327 - Strategic Review
This beaten down stock looks poised for a sale within 12-18 months
Aug 18
Quick Value #326 - Shift4 Payments (FOUR)
Cheap levered roll-up in a niche corner of payment processing industry
Aug 11
Quick Value #325 - Asymmetric Inflection Story
Early innings inflection story trading at 6x cash flow with a 9% dividend yield and net cash balance sheet. Compelling risk/reward with an…
Aug 4

July 2026

Quick Value #324 - Resideo + ADI Global
REZI + ADIG creating pure-play building technologies and distribution businesses
Jul 27
Quick Value #323 - Insurance Stub Shares
Shares of this stub insurance business trade at 8x normalized earnings with jockey CEO
Jul 20
© 2026 Value Don't Lie · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture